Before making the transition into his
own business, Floyd was a part of big corporate America. He held a
number of engineering positions in the semiconductor industry for
ten years upon his graduation from college. He spent three years
with Intel Corporation in New Mexico in the eighties, and then
spent the next seven years working for Motorola. Although he
thoroughly enjoyed his time with such prestigious fortune 500
companies as Intel and Motorola, he wanted to achieve a greater
level of success in his life. Most importantly, he wanted to be
free to pursue his own interests. He has never been one that just
wanted to sit around. He always kept very busy, and he enjoys being
busy! However, he wanted to be busy doing what he wanted to do,
and not what he had to do to please his boss. He always knew that
he wanted to start his own business, but never knew what that would be.
He knew it had to involve technology because that was one of his
passions. It wasn't until he discovered his passion for trading and
for the markets that he knew beyond a doubt what he wanted to pursue.
Nothing really excited him more than the markets and the study of
the markets. Here was his opportunity to combine technology and his
ambition to run his own business. Part of his passion has been to
figure out how things work. As a child, he didn't play with his toys;
he spent his time disassembling them to see how they worked. This
eventually led to a degree in electronic engineering. Finally, this
curiosity led to the discovery of the markets, one of the biggest
mysteries he has ever encountered. He decided trading and professionally
assisting others with trading & tracking futures would be his business
and way of life.
He spent a great deal of his spare time
and money researching the investment world while working as an
engineer. His dream was always to be self-sufficient. He never wanted
to rely on anyone for his financial well being. His greatest desire was
to be financially independent. Unfortunately, he discovered this was
not a possibility by simply working for someone else. Even though he
had a very good salary, saved over 20% of his yearly pay, he could not
get where he wanted to be for at least another 15 - 20 years. He needed
a business.
He knew there was an enormous amount of
money in the investment world. He had already started trading stocks
and had experienced some success at it. He knew others were making
money as well. Stocks were slow however. He did not want to wait ten
years for a stock to go up or recover, and he did not have the hundreds
of thousands of dollars needed for adequate leverage. He found out it
was a slow process. Next, he investigated stock options. He found stock
options certainly had the ability to multiply his money several times
in a very short period, but here again; he made some money and lost
money. There was no consistency to it. He had no system and relied on
information from the media, newspapers, friends, and gut instinct.
All of these sources proved to be inconsistent and unreliable. He needed
an approach and a system.
Finally, he decided to try commodities.
He really knew nothing about commodities when he made his first trade.
He read enough about commodities to understand how they worked, but he
did not yet know how to trade them. He started out like everyone else,
reading the Wall Street journal religiously and buying Barron’s every
weekend. He spent hours looking at charts and reading books. Soon, he
found that he ended up with the same scenario. He made some money and
lost some money. It was then that he made one of the worst mistakes of
his trading career. He decided to let a so-called expert show him how
to trade. A broker. The broker did worse than he did. He lost his profits,
and nearly lost all of his investment money with the broker in charge.
Discouraged, he considered doing what most people do, give up. Somehow
though, he found himself unable to quit. He believed he could make money
at it, but he was finding that like everything else in life, he had to be
patient and wait for the right opportunities. He learned that he could
not trade just because he needed the money. The markets weren't going
to yield opportunities every time he needed money. Therefore, he had
to make sure he had other ways to ensure adequate money for his day-to-day
living expenses, while he researched the markets, and waited for the real
opportunities. When the opportunity presented itself, he learned to pounce
and he quickly made money at it. However, here too, he learned something.
He learned that even the best looking opportunities do not always yield a
profitable result. Thus, he learned that he had to combine risk containment
with his patience. Over and over again he found that if he waited and was
cautious, he was able to make money. If he wasn't patient, or if he was
reckless, he almost always lost money. There was a pattern developing here.
There were opportunities to make money, but they did not happen every day,
and they were not easy to identify. Thus, he had to build a complete system
for tracking and identifying these opportunities. By this time he had
already spent a small fortune on different software packages, systems,
programs and data providers. None of them provided him with consistent
results or the clarity he was seeking. He figured if he was going to do
this right, he had to get all the data and build his own system completely
from scratch, based on what he found to work.
He began the long process of filling up his
computer hard drives with all the commodity price data he could get. He got
historical daily data, and Intra-day tick data spanning decades of time.
Using his knowledge in statistics and engineering background combined with
his programming skills, he designed his own trading system based on
repeating patterns and conditions characteristic to individual commodities.
What he found from computer back testing was amazing. There is an underlying
order in the commodity markets not found in the historic price movements of
individual stocks. In his research he discovered specific patterns in commodity
prices unique to each market. He found that these patterns are highly correlated
to the positions held by the participants in the commodity markets. Using the
Commitment of Traders data supplied by the U.S. government, he was able to
separate the open interest for each commodity into three distinct groups.
While everyone else has been looking at prices or price structures for core
indicators (there are tens of thousands of indicators derived from old prices),
he developed his own proprietary trading & tracking system using the data
from the three unique groups of traders tracked by the U.S. government.
This finally led to an entire proprietary trading system, complete with
unique indicators, derived from the Commitment of Traders data, and further
supplemented with traditional but proprietary, price indicators. There is no
other system like this in the world. Floyd developed everything from the
indicators to the charts themselves. Finally, with this software and trading
system, and the knowledge he obtained from all his hard work, he decided a
career change was in order. He was able to quit his corporate job for good.
He now spends his time doing what he loves, trading, tracking and studying
the markets!
Floyd found out early in his trading career that
the commercially available charting software and price tracking systems were
not versatile nor complex enough to do the kind of statistical studies on
fundamental data and comparison correlation's that he needed to do in order
to gain a unique perspective into the market. Using the same software, methods
and indicators everyone else was using, basically provided him with the same
results as everyone else. After reviewing everything on the market, he decided
to create his own software package for tracking everything from prices, roll
dates and trends, to sophisticated correlation studies, inter-market
relationships, mean regression analysis and much more!
Traders often look at the market as a thing,
"the market". The market is really the result of all the participants, and
the actions of each. Much of this is not common knowledge however, and is
certainly NOT part of all common trading systems. To achieve success on a
consistent basis in this field, one must step outside the realm of common
knowledge (what everyone already knows and may already be doing in the market)
and tackle the market like a problem needing solved, using the tools necessary
to explore and solve the problem at hand. Solving the challenging problem the
market provides is not an easy task and never will be because the heart of the
matter is wrapped around the complexities of human emotion. The driving force
of the market is in fact, irrational behavior. The markets do not behave
rationally, because people under pressure do not behave rationally. However,
there are certain traits, habits and behaviors that all people possess, and
under certain conditions, all people will react the same way! This is part of
our overall analysis of the markets, and something we discuss regularly in our
reports. In addition, there are certain patterns in the market that will signal
when crowd behavior is extreme or overwhelmingly one-sided. This is something
we track and measure. Make no mistake about it, tackling the challenges
the markets provide is a very complicated and complex endeavor. Those that
try to make it sound simple probably do not seriously attempt to solve these
complexities. Our trading systems deal with these issues and include well
defined position management rules and principles along with risk containment
procedures, so that we are able to avoid the pitfalls of our own weaknesses
as much as is 'humanly' possible!
Traditional indicators, mainstream software
packages are common knowledge in this business. Everyone starts out using
these tools. However, only a few eventually become successful on a consistent
basis. I have found that everyone I've ever met that is consistently
successful in this business, all have one thing in common. That is, they
do not conform or follow the traditional way of thinking. Many people
initially fall for the idea that this business can be learned very easily
using traditional commonplace books, tapes, seminars, and software. That is
not the case. This is not a normal business that simply requires following a
book of instructions to succeed.
Commodity trading is a zero sum business.
That means each time we make money on a trade, somewhere someone has lost
money taking the other side of that position. We know that based on the facts,
roughly 80% of small speculators lose money trading futures. All small
speculators typically use the same software packages, same indicators, and
they all make the same mistakes, over and over again. Thus, the average
trading life of a smaller speculator is about a year. New ones are coming in,
as old ones give up and quit. If you want to step outside of the mean, you
have to be willing and able to look at the market differently, in a unique
fashion, outside the mainstream way of thinking.
Nothing about what Floyd has done has ever
been easy. First of all, it is not easy breaking free from the corporate
world to venture out on your own. You must be prepared, financially prepared
and psychologically prepared. He also recommends having several potential
sources for generating cash flow. There is no law that says you can have only
one business. He has found that there are many ways to make money, of which
trading is only one of them. Furthermore, you can trade stocks, commodities,
bonds, options, all of which he trades himself. In addition, you can invest
in real estate as well as other investments. He decided early on that it would
be wise not to place all of his eggs into one basket. Trading will always have
its ups and downs. That's just how the markets are. You need to be financially
prepared for that. Few mention this, but its true. If you plan to rely 100% on
trading, which Floyd does not, then you better have enough money saved up to
pay for all your expenses in the case you have a down year.
Floyd became a CTA to help others learn what
he has learned about the markets through his research and hard work.
Assisting others inherently keeps him more focused on the markets and his
system, while generating additional cash flow in exchange for his contribution.
While not for everyone, Floyd likes working with people, and he has found that
trading can be lonely, especially if you come from corporate America. This job
fit perfectly with what he loves to do. As you can imagine, when Floyd left
the corporate world to go out on his own, there were many unknowns. He left
with one goal in mind, to pursue his dreams and to live his life his way. He
didn't want to work for anyone else. Once on his own, he had the time to pursue
his stock investments, futures trading, real estate investing, as well as the
time to build his proprietary trading systems and software. Floyd was never
willing to give up on his dream. You shouldn't either. Whatever your dream,
only you can make it happen. Be smart about it however. Never put all your
eggs in one basket.
During his years as an "employee", he got to know
many people who were unhappy in their careers or jobs, but did not know how
to break free, or were to afraid to do it. You need to have a plan if you
are going to strike out on your own. Futures’ trading was Floyd’s plan.
His system gave him the confidence to leave the corporate world behind.
Later he was able to contribute his trading experience and software to help
others learn as well. Even with a plan, it takes guts to leave the security
of corporate America to try something completely on your own. Futures traders
are entrepreneurs in Floyd’s opinion, and both major risk takers. Floyd
certainly falls into that category, as leaving a comfortable 6-digit yearly
income for the unknown was risky. He believes you must be willing to take
calculated risks in life in order to achieve and to obtain your dreams.
You also must dream and believe in yourself.
|
Recognized Quotes from Floyd W. Upperman Jr. CTA
|
"In truth, it is very difficult to make money on a consistent basis by speculating on
the price fluctuation of any market, but particularly in the futures markets! Difficult
does not mean impossible however, but it clearly does mean the opposite of 'easy'! Anyone
that says this is easy is simply not being truthful in my opinion! However, when it comes
down to it, sometimes it is simply a matter of being in the right place at the right time.
The key however is having the knowledge to recognize this and the means to act in a timely
fashion (before everyone else knows about it)! That may be simple, but the waiting as they
say is the hardest part!"
"You never want to be the person left holding the bag (e.g. LTCM in the late 90's). As we
observed with LTCM, even though they were the creators of a very successful approach for
trading options (which made them millions) once everyone knew about their system and how
it worked, the inefficiency that they were exploiting virtually vanished over-night as a
result of the actions of everyone that learned of it!"
"Those that do this for a living have acquired the necessary skills and knowledge through
years of experience and meticulous market observations."
|
|
|
Important!
|
NO
TRADING SYSTEM CAN GUARANTEE PROFITS
No guarantees can be made for success. Past performance is not a
guarantee of future profits.
Futures trading is NOT our only means of income. We also invest
in stocks, real estate as well as
generate income from other businesses. We have both winning trades
and losing trades. We trade professionally, but not daily. We wait
for what we believe to be ideal trading opportunities.
|
|
 |
| |
"I can't imagine trading commodities without this data!
This is the missing link"
J.T., private trader
"I don't know how you can make it (IMPA system) any better...
This is the BEST system I have ever seen. "
R.K. Part-time futures trader
"Dear Floyd, Well I have read the manual and studied lots & lots
of charts... all I can say is wow - I finally found it - !!!
THE SYSTEM (the only system) ... Finally FA & TA in one package!
Thanks, Subscribing for life now please...from way down under"
|
|
 |
|